jducoeur: (device)
jducoeur ([personal profile] jducoeur) wrote2012-09-07 06:18 pm
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They can't say Facebook didn't warn them

This week's LinkedIn links contains a delightful piece from Business Insider, on the subject of Facebook's IPO, taking the whining investors to task. 

 

The message, repeatedly, is, "Did any of you people read the freaking prospectus?". It's a fine point.  He includes an annotated version of the letter Mark Zuckerberg sent to prospective investors, which boiled down to pointing out that they are more interested in building cool products than making money, structured things intentionally so that Zuck would retain control, and weren't making any promises about valuation.

 

I confess, I kinda like the letter.  When I think about Querki, I'm mostly focused on building a cool, smaller private company than something that will make billions in the stock market, for many of the same reasons.  Given the letter, I'm honestly mystified why anybody bought the stock - but then, I've been saying for months that this IPO made no sense.  And it really does look like people bought with deliberate blinders on - the scandal about inside information aside, it was pretty clear from the *public* statements that this was an iffy investment...

[identity profile] goldsquare.livejournal.com 2012-09-07 06:15 pm (UTC)(link)
Never Buy House Product

He cites, by way of example:
I was reminded of this advice while read a WSJ article on the Facebook IPO (you may have missed it during vacation week). FB is now down more than 50% from its offering price of $38. As it turns out, holdings data revealed that “eight of the top nine U.S. mutual funds with Facebook shares as a percentage of total assets are run by Morgan Stanley’s asset-management arm, according to fund tracker Morningstar“. So the biggest holders of Facebook stock are Morgan Stanley Mutual Funds, and — not coincidentally — Morgan Stanley was the lead underwriter of the Facebook IPO.
laurion: (Default)

[personal profile] laurion 2012-09-08 04:59 pm (UTC)(link)
No kidding. For starters, pre-prospectus, even, FB said flat out they are turning a lot of focus to the emerging mobile market. And that pretty much a known fact that traditional advertising revenues -do not work- on mobile platforms. Translation? Less revenues. And Facebook is fine with that. Money is a positive side effect of being a household word. As long as they keep getting enough to keep doing what they want to do (be a part of every person's daily life, and reflect glory on Zuck), investors don't matter.

[identity profile] querldox.livejournal.com 2012-09-16 03:46 am (UTC)(link)
The points you bring up were all pretty much the same in Google's IPO letter. The difference is that our numbers (and earnings curve) were much better than Facebook's, and we IPOed earlier in the lifecycle.

The problem with the stock being so overvalued at IPO is that, unless they're offering a *lot* in terms of restricted stock units, they'll have a problem attracting the best eng talent from here on out.