Fella named Dan Ariely (I think that's the last name) a/k/a dandan@mit.edu -- formerly at MIT now at Duke -- wrote a well-received book about irrationality in economic actors. It might have some of what you're looking for.

Regarding predicting the market: since it really is chaotic, those characteristic shapes you're looking for will be there, but they're going to appear at every scale, so you won't know if you're seeing the peak of the day, the week, the year, or just the previous 5 minutes.