I've worried about this scenario for quite awhile now. And I imagine party leaders have as well.
The delegate balance may see-saw some with CA. But I think it unlikely that Clinton will pull so far ahead. I also expect Obama to do well here in the "Chesapeake Primary" next week, although not decisively.
TX and Ohio may end up deciding the thing before the convention.
Finally, to add to the nightmare, there is the Florida and Michigan delegate mess. Clinton has vowed to try to get them seated. Of course, the rank opportunism of trying to get them seated _after_ she won is not lost on the Obama camp. Obama has proposed a "make up" primary in which the state parties could run the primaries again with both candidates campaigning this time. That solution, however, would require state legislatures to act.
If Clinton wins by getting FL and MI delegates seated, there will be a _lot_ of bitterness by Obama supporters and in the African American community, which will once again feel that Whitey moved the goal post as soon as a black man got too close. OTOH, refusal to seat FL and MI delegates will anger Dems in those states, which will certainly be major battle grounds against McCain.
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Date: 2008-02-06 04:17 pm (UTC)The delegate balance may see-saw some with CA. But I think it unlikely that Clinton will pull so far ahead. I also expect Obama to do well here in the "Chesapeake Primary" next week, although not decisively.
TX and Ohio may end up deciding the thing before the convention.
Finally, to add to the nightmare, there is the Florida and Michigan delegate mess. Clinton has vowed to try to get them seated. Of course, the rank opportunism of trying to get them seated _after_ she won is not lost on the Obama camp. Obama has proposed a "make up" primary in which the state parties could run the primaries again with both candidates campaigning this time. That solution, however, would require state legislatures to act.
If Clinton wins by getting FL and MI delegates seated, there will be a _lot_ of bitterness by Obama supporters and in the African American community, which will once again feel that Whitey moved the goal post as soon as a black man got too close. OTOH, refusal to seat FL and MI delegates will anger Dems in those states, which will certainly be major battle grounds against McCain.