Thanks to
goldsquare for the link to this article, which is pretty much the dictionary definition of sangfroid but a good corrective to the growing sense of panic. Quoting the same chunk
goldsquare did, which I think sets the tone nicely:
Everyone's basically doom-and-glooming about an imminent breakup of Europe, which seems overdone and then some. This whole episode has mostly illustrated that the EU, as a polity, is still very immature, and is trying to have it both ways, ignoring the tensions between the sovereign nations within it and the requirements of a large-scale monetary system. Europe definitely needs to start growing up and figuring out what it wants to be, but Greece leaving doesn't mean everything is doomed -- it just shows what can happen if they don't start actually wrestling with the hard issues...
Bringing things up to the modern era, we look at the period from Greece’s independence in the 1830’s to today. In this roughly 200-year period, Greece has been in default to its creditors during roughly 90 of these years, or half the time. To a person with any historical awareness, being told that Greece is on the verge of a default is like hearing Dean Martin is on the verge of a martini.I confess, I've been expecting a Grexit and default for months -- while it's going to be a bad scene economically, the politics have looked pretty much intractable since Syriza got elected. They had painted themselves into a corner with unrealistic election promises (out of naivete as much as anything, it sounds like), and nobody on the EU side -- and yes, this has clearly been a matter of sides for quite some time now -- has been willing to admit that maybe the austerity thing got pushed too far.
Everyone's basically doom-and-glooming about an imminent breakup of Europe, which seems overdone and then some. This whole episode has mostly illustrated that the EU, as a polity, is still very immature, and is trying to have it both ways, ignoring the tensions between the sovereign nations within it and the requirements of a large-scale monetary system. Europe definitely needs to start growing up and figuring out what it wants to be, but Greece leaving doesn't mean everything is doomed -- it just shows what can happen if they don't start actually wrestling with the hard issues...