jducoeur: (Default)
[personal profile] jducoeur
Okay, yes -- I understand that a measure of caution is necessary in an age of loons who think terrorism actually accomplishes something. But I swear -- in ten years, everyone is going to be required to fly naked. (And preferably all sedated, which takes any potential fun out of it...)

(no subject)

Date: 2006-08-11 03:17 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nazrynn.livejournal.com
My thought today was that one of these days, it will happen again.
As in, something will slip past. These people are very determined, and I see no real end to this level of hatred in the immediate future.

On a side (and happier) note - I left something for you in my LJ, concerning Spam. :) Enjoy...

(no subject)

Date: 2006-08-11 05:09 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tangerinpenguin.livejournal.com
(I would love to see some accurate statistics about how many attacks get prevented by airport security, but I'm fairly sure that they don't exist. Indeed, it probably isn't even possible to compile them. Pain in the ass: omniscience would be so useful, sometimes...)

Not exactly what you asked for, but:

Mueller, John. "A False Sense of Insecurity?" Regulation 27.3 (Fall 2004): 42-46

It attempts to make the statistical argument that, even assuming a fairly high rate of "success" for terrorism, the risk to any given individual is significantly lower than the risk of, say, continued automobile use and policymakers should be looking for ways to get that point across rather than contributing to the hysteria. (I know, I know, depends on what your agenda is as the policy maker; I'm quite cynical, too.)

It's been slashdotted recently from BoingBoing and Bruce Scheiner's blog; if you are not already reading the latter and are interested in just that sort of question (applied to security in general) it's not a bad addition to your reading list.

(no subject)

Date: 2006-08-11 07:30 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] umbran.livejournal.com
I would love to see some accurate statistics about how many attacks get prevented by airport security, but I'm fairly sure that they don't exist.

Perhaps we don't need to know that exactly to have an idea of what's up. We can start comparing losses from terrorist attacks against other risks of death to gain perspective.

We must always be wary of statistics, but consider the following - depending upon exactly how you want to count it, in order for flight to be ask risky as driving the same distance by car, you'd need to have one set of September 11th style crashes every month.

If so, unless they're stopping a multi-thousand victim plot every month, spending our Homeland Security budget on highway safety might be a more effective way to save American lives. And I figure if they were stoppig that many attacks, they'd be crowing about it in the news media, no?

It seems to me that every time we go into a frenzy trying to protect ourselves from terror, we show that we are, in fact, terrified - meaning that the bastards are achieving their goals. There's been little to no indication that the dangers are anywhere near justifying our reaction.

While not properly quantitative or attributed, the following paper does present much of the relevant logic: http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv27n3/v27n3-5.pdf

... "... it will happen again. "...

Date: 2006-08-11 05:09 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ferriludant.livejournal.com
That depends on what you mean by "it". (Clinton reference aside).

Yes, they can bring down a plane. The Locherby incident (Locherbie?) should make that obvious, even to the AOL generation. But can they again use a plane as a weapon? Do you believe that again, a set of American passengers will sit passively in their seats, no matter what the hijackers have?

In case it's not clear - my personal belief is "no". We all die. I'd rather die in a rush down the aisle or trying to wrestle the detonator away from some licker-of-diseased-goats than passively in my seat.

How about you?

Re: ... "... it will happen again. "...

Date: 2006-08-11 11:14 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nazrynn.livejournal.com
In case it's not clear - my personal belief is "no". We all die. I'd rather die in a rush down the aisle or trying to wrestle the detonator away from some licker-of-diseased-goats than passively in my seat.

Likewise. The days of sitting back and doing nothing when confronted with it are over, but it would seem that the continuation of the belief over there that the American people are "easy targets" is still being projected. That's pretty much what I'm referring to - their determination to end American lives hasn't slowed down any.

Just as you pointed out, our determination to save American and human lives overall shouldn't slow down, any, either.

Re: ... "... it will happen again. "...

Date: 2006-08-11 09:59 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] corwyn-ap.livejournal.com
I say arm everybody. How many terrorists do you think need to be on a plane to have a chance against the rest of the plane being digruntled travelers with weapons?

Re: ... "... it will happen again. "...

Date: 2006-08-11 01:39 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] cvirtue.livejournal.com
And they wouldn't have had the necessary knowledge without their cell phones.

Re: ... "... it will happen again. "...

Date: 2006-08-11 06:48 pm (UTC)
ext_104661: (Default)
From: [identity profile] alexx-kay.livejournal.com
One could argue, based on the article that you recently linked to, that the official, centralized grasp on relevant information as it happened was far more confused and inefficient than that of the decentralized community of ordinary people on Flight 93. (Some clear-sighted people were already arguing that well before the depths of the officals' confusion became apparent.) As a sometime libertarian, I think this is a hopeful sign for the future.

re: sit passively in their seats

Date: 2006-08-11 01:47 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
They were just following the government's terrorist guidelines.

Always winning last year's war...

(no subject)

Date: 2006-08-11 12:25 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lauradi7.livejournal.com
There have been some variations on that, including jokes about the TSA people doing rock, paper, scissors to pick who has to do the cavity searches on the naked people. The suggestion that made most (jokey) sense to me was to sedate all the passengers to the point of sleep - they therefore would *need* food or drinks or diversions, and couldn't physically do anything to blow up the plane.

re: sedated

Date: 2006-08-11 05:07 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
Just like in the Fifth Element?

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