Current State Polls?

[jducoeur]

Y'know the old saying, "There's never a cop around when you need one"? The same seems to be true of political polls. I'm really quite curious about what things look like right now -- my suspicion is that Tom Reilly has scored an own goal by going blatantly negative in the past week or so, but that's merely anecdotal at this point. I would dearly love a comparitive week-by-week tracking poll to validate that hunch, but I don't seem to be finding one.

So I put it out to the unimind: anyone know of a reputable and regular poll paying attention to the MA Gubernatorial Race? It seems like such a thing must surely exist in this day and age, but the expected sites aren't turning up a decent pointer...

Comments

Suffolk U?

[dsrtao]

http://www.suffolk.edu/suprc/gov06/aug22_06/index.html

(and other dates at the obvious location)

Seems similar, but more comprehensive, than http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/August%202006/massachusettsGovernor.htm

Re: Suffolk U?

[jducoeur]

Thanks! Neither is as recent as I might wish, but they do help confirm my gut instinct -- that any of the three could probably beat Healey, but Gabrieli would completely bury her. No real surprise there: of the entire field, Gabrieli is the closest match to the sort of centrist technocrat that MA has been tending to elect (or at least, trying to elect) for the past 20 years.

Doesn't answer my immediate question (whether Reilly is shooting himself in the foot at the moment), but it does make me more comfortable with my gradual tilt towards Gabrieli over the past couple of months. I like what he has to say, and it looks like he's also the best-placed to win -- a good combination...

[liamstliam.livejournal.com]

Nobody cares much?

I do not think there's any doubt Patrick wins.

[jducoeur]

I don't think it's nearly so clear -- Gabrieli is doing quite well at this point, and I think he's got the momentum. Patrick has the liberal grass-roots, but Gabrieli is more appealing to centrists like myself. (Frankly, Gabrieli is *saying* a lot more than Patrick, and I appreciate that.) And I believe it's naive to count Reilly out: while I believe he's made a possibly-fatal mistake, he's a smart old hand with a lot of machine pull.

This is still very much a three-way race, tight enough that little things could yet swing it in any direction...

[oakleaf-mirror.livejournal.com]

There's a new SUSA poll out on the Massachusetts gubernatorial race. It seems to confirm you suspicion in that Reilly is down 9 points in the last three weeks, with Patrick picking up those votes. Gabrelli is mostly unchanged.

[jducoeur]

Yep, although I may have to agree with Liam that at this point Patrick has it sewn up. Pity -- I quite like what Gabrieli has to say. Well, I'll vote for him in the primary, and (assuming it goes as I expect) Patrick in the election...